Bukatar shigo da Amurka ta ragu, kwantenan jigilar Amurka sun nutse sama da kashi 30%

Kwanan nan, raguwar buƙatun shigo da kayayyaki daga Amurka ya jawo ce-ce-ku-ce a masana'antar.A gefe guda kuma, akwai tarin tarin kayayyaki, kuma manyan shagunan sayar da kayayyaki a Amurka sun tilastawa kaddamar da "yakin rangwamen kudi" don kara karfin saye, amma har yanzu adadin kayayyakin da ya kai yuan biliyan 10 ya sa 'yan kasuwa ke korafi. .A gefe guda kuma, adadin kwantenan tekun Amurka kwanan nan ya ragu sama da kashi 30% zuwa ƙarancin watanni 18.

Mafi yawan masu asara har yanzu su ne masu amfani, waɗanda dole ne su biya farashi mai yawa kuma su ɗaure waistband ɗin su don ƙara yawan kuɗin da suke da shi don shirye-shiryen rashin kyakkyawan hangen nesa na tattalin arziki.Manazarta na ganin cewa, hakan na da nasaba da yadda Fed ya fara zagayowar karin kudin ruwa, wanda ke matsa wa Amurka lamba kan zuba jari da kuma yadda ake amfani da shi, amma ko farashin cinikayyar duniya da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki zai kara tashi ya fi dacewa a kula.

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Manazarta sun tabbatar da cewa koma bayan kayyakin kayayyakin Amurka zai kara rage bukatar shigo da kayayyaki Amurka.Dangane da sabbin bayanan da manyan dillalan Amurka suka fitar kwanan nan, kididdigar Costco har zuwa ranar 8 ga Mayu ya kai dalar Amurka biliyan 17.623, karuwar shekara-shekara da kashi 26%.Ƙididdiga a Macy's ya haura 17% daga bara, kuma adadin cibiyoyin cikar Walmart ya haura 32%.Shugaban wani babban kamfani na kera kayan daki a Arewacin Amurka ya yarda cewa kididdigar tasha a Amurka ya yi yawa, kuma abokan cinikin kayan daki suna rage sayayya da sama da kashi 40%.Wasu shugabannin kamfanoni da yawa sun ce za su kawar da wuce gona da iri ta hanyar rangwame da talla, soke umarnin sayan ƙasashen waje, da sauransu.

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Babban dalilin kai tsaye ga abin da ke sama shine babban matakin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.Wasu masana tattalin arzikin Amurka sun daɗe suna hasashen cewa masu amfani za su fuskanci wani"hauhawar farashin kayanan da nan bayan Tarayyar Tarayya ta fara zagayowar yawan riba.

Chen Jiali, wani mai binciken macro a Everbright Securities, ya ce amfanin Amurka har yanzu yana da ɗan jurewa, amma adadin ajiyar kuɗi ya ragu zuwa 4.4% a cikin Afrilu, matakin mafi ƙanƙanci tun watan Agusta 2009. Yana nufin cewa a cikin mahallin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, gidaje kashe kuɗi yana ƙaruwa da sauri fiye da samun kudin shiga, wanda ke haifar da tilasta wa mazauna su janye ajiyar farko.

Dangane da sabon bayanan da Babban Bankin Tarayya ya fitar, ƙimar girman matakin girma a yawancin sassan Amurka yana "ƙarfi".Ma'aunin farashin mai samarwa (PPI) ya girma cikin sauri fiye da ma'aunin farashin mabukaci (CPI).Kusan rabin yankunan sun ba da rahoton cewa kamfanoni sun iya ba da farashi mai yawa ga masu amfani;wasu yankuna kuma sun nuna cewa "abokan ciniki sun yi tsayin daka", kamar "rage sayayya"., ko maye gurbinsa da alama mai rahusa" da dai sauransu.

Cheng Shi, babban masanin tattalin arziki na ICBC International, ya ce ba wai matakin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki na Amurka bai ragu sosai ba, har ma an tabbatar da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a karo na biyu.Tun da farko, CPI na Amurka ya tashi da kashi 8.6% a kowace shekara a watan Mayu, wanda ya karya wani sabon matsayi.Hankalin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a Amurka ya fara canzawa daga tura farashin kayayyaki zuwa “farashin albashi”, kuma rashin daidaito tsakanin wadata da bukatu a kasuwannin kwadago zai daukaka kara zagaye na biyu na hasashen hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a Amurka. .A sa'i daya kuma, karuwar tattalin arzikin Amurka a rubu'in farko bai kai yadda ake tsammani ba, kuma farfadowar tattalin arzikin kasar ya ragu matuka.Daga ɓangaren buƙata, a ƙarƙashin matsin lamba na hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, amincewar amfani da sirri ya ci gaba da raguwa.Tare da kololuwar amfani da makamashi a lokacin rani da hauhawar farashin da ba sa yin sama a cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci, yana iya zama da wahala ga kwarin gwiwar mabukatan Amurka su murmure cikin sauri.

A haƙiƙa, illolin da ke haifar da hauhawar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da kayayyaki masu yawa sun cancanci ƙarin kulawa.Cheng Shi ya kuma yi nuni da cewa, baya ga haka, har yanzu akwai rashin tabbas a cikin kasadar geopolitical na waje, wanda ba wai kai tsaye zai shafi farashin kayayyakin masarufi ba, da kuma kara habaka hauhawar farashin kayayyaki gaba daya, har ma da kara ba da kariya ga cinikayya, da kara tabarbarewar yanayin cinikayyar duniya, da kawo cikas ga harkokin ciniki a duniya. yanayin kasuwancin duniya.Sarkar masana'antu na duniya da sarkar samar da kayayyaki suna da santsi, suna haɓaka farashin ciniki da ƙara haɓaka tsakiyar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.

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Kayayyakin da aka shigo da su cikin kwantena zuwa Amurka sun ragu da sama da kashi 36 cikin dari tun daga ranar 24 ga watan Mayu, yayin da bukatar Amurka ke yin raguwar shigo da kayayyaki daga kasashen duniya.Cheng Shi ya yi nuni da cewa binciken da ABC ta fitar a watan Yuni ya nuna cewa mafi yawan wadanda suka amsa ba su gamsu da manufofin tattalin arziki na Biden ba tun bayan hawansa mulki, kashi 71% na wadanda suka amsa ba su gamsu da kokarin da Biden ke yi na dakile hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ba, kuma fiye da rabin wadanda suka amsa sun yi amanna. cewa hauhawan farashin kayayyaki da na tattalin arziki na da matukar muhimmanci.

A takaice dai, Chen Jiali ya yi imanin cewa, hadarin koma bayan tattalin arzikin Amurka yana karuwa, kuma yana da ra'ayin mazan jiya kan yanayin tattalin arzikin gaba daya.Shugaban JPMorgan Chase Jamie Dimon har ma ya yi gargadin cewa kwanaki masu zuwa za su kasance "mafi duhu," yana ba da shawara ga manazarta da masu saka hannun jari da su "shirya" don canje-canje.


Lokacin aikawa: Jul-06-2022